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Market Roundup – 29 July 2026: Fed Holds Amid Dissent, Chip Stocks Rout, and Private Credit Diverges

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Market Roundup – 29 July 2026: Fed Holds Amid Dissent, Chip Stocks Rout, and Private Credit Diverges

1Oak Research
2026-07-29 · 3 min read
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1. Federal Reserve Holds Rates — but Three Officials Vote to Hike

The Federal Open Market Committee voted 9–3 on 29 July to maintain the federal funds rate target at 3.50%–3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting. Three regional presidents — Beth Hammack of Cleveland, Neel Kashkari of Minneapolis, and Lorie Logan of Dallas — dissented, as inflation has remained above the Fed's 2% target for more than five years. Officials favoring tighter policy argued inflation has been a burden on households and is not showing clear signs of abating, with recent price pressures reflecting both tariffs and higher energy costs tied to the Iran conflict. Markets are currently pricing in two 25-basis-point hikes, with the first expected in September and the second in December.

Sources: CNBC, 29 July 2026; Advisor Perspectives / dshort, 29 July 2026


2. U.S. Equities Fall Sharply; Nasdaq 100 Enters Correction

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.19% to 51,594, the S&P 500 lost 1.52% to 7,316, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.74% to 24,443, as a hawkish Federal Reserve and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pressured equities. The Nasdaq 100 entered a technical correction, extending its slide from a record to 11%, while 30-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since 2007, and Brent crude topped $90. In after-hours trading, Meta Platforms gave a lackluster forecast, while Microsoft's cloud unit grew at its fastest pace in four years.

Source: Bloomberg, 29 July 2026; Yahoo Finance / Motley Fool, 29 July 2026


3. Global Semiconductor Sell-Off Extends to Asia and Wall Street

A sustained rout in chip stocks spread across markets. South Korea's stock exchange triggered a circuit breaker on the benchmark Kospi for a second consecutive day after the index plunged 8%, with SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics tanking nearly 13% and 8%, respectively. Selling was led by SK Hynix, which announced it was delaying its HBM4 memory expansion in favour of higher-margin DDR5 production — a supply-chain shift interpreted by investors as evidence of moderating AI-driven memory demand growth. The July 2026 sell-off has been characterised as signalling a potential regime change in how investors value AI infrastructure stocks; the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index had rallied over 130% in the twelve months leading into the correction.

Sources: CNBC, 29 July 2026; Intellectia AI / Distill Intelligence, July 2026


4. Private Credit: Institutional LPs Signal Diversification Away from Direct Lending

Institutional investors are expected to diversify their private credit portfolios away from direct lending over the next year, according to new research from Rede Partners. Its Private Credit Market Intelligence Report 2026 found that 70% of limited partners expect diversification beyond direct lending to become the leading trend across the asset class over the next 12 months. Direct lending remains a core part of investors' private credit portfolios, cited as a primary or secondary focus by 62% of respondents; however, only 6% say they plan to increase allocations to mid and upper-mid-market direct lending. This follows data published earlier in July showing that U.S. direct-lending volume fell sharply in Q2 even as fund-raising rebounded, with lending volume dropping approximately 55% quarter-on-quarter to $33.59 billion — the lowest level since Q2 2023 — while deal count declined to 154 from 217.

Sources: Alternative Credit Investor, 23 July 2026; Reuters / PitchBook LCD, 9 July 2026


5. BlackRock-HPS Pushes to Expand Private Credit Franchise

With the addition of HPS, one of the biggest names in private credit, BlackRock is positioning itself to break through the market in a way that had eluded the asset manager for years. The combined business, referred to as Private Financing Solutions, is designed to invest across capital structures large and small, as the world's largest asset manager angles for a significant share of the industry's future. The development comes as credit remained broadly available to most nonfinancial firms, households, and municipalities, although small businesses and households continued to face relatively tight credit conditions, according to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 Monetary Policy Report.

Sources: Bloomberg, 28 July 2026; Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Report, July 2026


This news roundup is produced by 1Oak Research for general informational and educational purposes only. Nothing in it constitutes investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or financial instrument. All investments carry risk, including the possible total loss of capital. 1Oak Research is not a licensed or regulated financial entity.

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